Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

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$4.37K

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Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Vol

$4.37K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.37K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.37K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	12%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	6%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	6%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	6%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	4%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	4%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Cardano for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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12%

Top Probability

$4.37K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before Jan 21, 2029 If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase X government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. X purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, including units bought with the proceeds of selling other digital assets already held. The announcement must state that the purchase has been made. Each strike settles on its own token, and more than one

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 21, 2029

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase X government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. X purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, including units bought with the proceeds of selling other digital assets already held. The announcement must state that the purchase has been made. Each strike settles on its own token, and more than one 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Treasur"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $89
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $155
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $554
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Cardano for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $84
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2029): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Volume$4.37K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Tre

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Tr

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Treasur

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Tr

KALSHI

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A purchase means the named cryptocurrency acquired for value and held by the U.S. Department of the Trea

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Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

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Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

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Events (1)

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Markets (7)

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

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Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of XRP for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Dogecoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Solana for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?

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