GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

2028 Democratic VP nominee

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Trade on Kalshi

2028 Democratic VP nominee

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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45 markets tracked

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

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Single-Platform Markets(45)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	10%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	8%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	7%
Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	6%
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	5%
Will Mark Kelly be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	4%
Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	4%
Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	4%
Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	4%
Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	3%
Will Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	2%
Will Roy Cooper be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	2%
Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Kamala Harris be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will James Talarico be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Phil Murphy be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Lebron James be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Liz Cheney be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jasmine Crockett be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Hunter Biden be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Elizabeth Warren be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jared Polis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Hillary Clinton be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Gina Raimondo be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Graham Platner be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Dwayne Johnson be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Bernie Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Barack Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Amy Klobuchar be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jamie Dimon be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chris Murphy be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Cory Booker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Stephen A. Smith be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jon Stewart be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Rahm Emanuel be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	1%
Will Michelle Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	0%
Will John Fetterman be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	0%
Will Tony Evers be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	0%
Will Tim Walz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	0%
Will Mark Cuban be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?	Kalshi	0%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

In 2028 If X accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination. This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028 Democratic VP nominee
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2028

If X accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination. This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Phil Murphy accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Phil Murphy be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lebron James be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Liz Cheney be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jasmine Crockett be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Hunter Biden be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Elizabeth Warren be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jared Polis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Hillary Clinton be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gina Raimondo be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Graham Platner be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Dwayne Johnson be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Bernie Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Barack Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Amy Klobuchar be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jamie Dimon be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Chris Murphy be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Cory Booker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Stephen A. Smith be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Jon Stewart be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will James Talarico be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Rahm Emanuel be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Tony Evers be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Mark Kelly be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Tim Walz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Roy Cooper be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Mark Cuban be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will John Fetterman be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Michelle Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Kamala Harris be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Volume$0.00

Markets45

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KALSHI

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.7¢No 90.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

If Gretchen Whitmer accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.7¢No 92.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.6¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

If Pete Buttigieg accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

If Andy Beshear accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

If Gavin Newsom accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

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2028 Democratic VP nominee

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Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

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Events (1)

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Markets (45)

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

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Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

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