GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Name: Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$354.20K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Vol

$354.20K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $354.20K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $354.20K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?	Poly	40%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$354.20K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s en

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s en

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody p"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $159
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.45)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics