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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Name: Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.28K

Events

Markets

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Vol

$8.28K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Poly	7%
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$8.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s en

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s en

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $168.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Volume$8.28K

Markets2

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POLYMARKET

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 6.9¢No 93.1¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursu

POLYMARKET

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 5.1¢No 94.8¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursua

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/4ZFHBF" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?"></iframe>

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

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Events (1)

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

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