GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Name: Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$28.87K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Vol

$28.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $28.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	87%
Will Omar López Campos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Tomás de Jesús López Bajo win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Eduardo Ortiz Hernández win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Sergio Torres Félix win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Guillermo Romero Rodríguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Ricardo Madrid Pérez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Mario Zamora Gastélum win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Roxana Rubio Valdez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Lucila Ayala de Moreschi win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Jesús Fernando García Hernández win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Estrella Palacios Domínguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

87%

Top Probability

$28.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambigui

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambigui

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by Dece"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $227.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $372
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $417
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Estrella Palacios Domínguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $373
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ricardo Madrid Pérez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $358
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lucila Ayala de Moreschi win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $332
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Tomás de Jesús López Bajo win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $413
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Omar López Campos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $524
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Jesús Fernando García Hernández win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Mario Zamora Gastélum win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $372
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $338
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Eduardo Ortiz Hernández win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $358
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Roxana Rubio Valdez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Guillermo Romero Rodríguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Sergio Torres Félix win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $402
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will María Fernanda Rivera win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $332
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics