Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event asks whether 3Jane's governance token will have a Fully Diluted Valuation above a stated threshold one day after launch. The rules say the FDV is "determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price," and the market resolves "Yes" if that value is "greater than the value specified in the title" [1]. The source defines "1 day after launch" as "4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch" and says the token "must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch" [1].

The rules also set a fallback. If 3Jane does not launch a token "by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'No'" [1]. That date is a contract condition, not an announced launch date. The supplied evidence contains no launch announcement or confirmed token launch.

The listed end time is 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z [1]. The thresholds in this snapshot range from $40M to $1.5B, so each contract is a separate question with its own price.

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-20T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-20T05:02:32Z [1]. These are prices recorded at those times. They are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities.

All 12 saved Polymarket markets for this event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. Yes prices fall as thresholds rise. For example, the Yes price is 0.938 at $40M, 0.745 at $100M, 0.385 at $200M, 0.199 at $1B, and 0.0445 at $1.5B [1].

The ordering is not perfectly monotonic. The $400M contract shows Yes at 0.105, while the $500M contract shows Yes at 0.125 [1]. This snapshot does not explain that gap, so readers should check the current listing before drawing conclusions from it.

The evidence includes no volume or trader counts for these contracts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold a view.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether 3Jane will launch a token, when, or at what valuation. It does not show the actual resolution, since the contracts are still active in the snapshot [1]. The sample covers only this Polymarket event, so no comparison with other platforms or other events is supported here. Prices can change after the observation time, and the saved snapshot should not be read as a current price.

References

1. Polymarket: 3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z.