Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US Treasury cash balance on October 30, 2026

Reported volume

K 5.1K contracts

Events

Markets

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US Treasury cash balance on October 30, 2026

Vol

K 5.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above $900 billion at 68%.

Kalshi

Above $900 billion68%
Above $875 billion64.5%
Above $850 billion56.5%
Above $925 billion54%
Above $950 billion48%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $900 billion?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $900 billion?	Kalshi	68.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $875 billion?	Kalshi	64.5%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $850 billion?	Kalshi	56.5%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $925 billion?	Kalshi	54.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $950 billion?	Kalshi	48.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,050 billion?	Kalshi	46.5%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $975 billion?	Kalshi	41.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,000 billion?	Kalshi	34.5%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,075 billion?	Kalshi	33.5%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,025 billion?	Kalshi	28.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,100 billion?	Kalshi	27.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 5.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

October 30, 2026 If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above X billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses the “Treasury General Account, TGA, Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. X publication delay does not change the observation date. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: US Treasury cash balance on October 30, 2026
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 5.1K contracts
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $975 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T975; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 433.3 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $975 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $950 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T950; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 635.49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $950 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $925 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T925; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 985.29 contracts
Outcome Yes: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $925 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $900 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T900; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 263 contracts
Outcome Yes: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $900 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $875 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T875; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 492 contracts
Outcome Yes: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $875 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $850 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T850; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 10 contracts
Outcome Yes: 56.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 43.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $850 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,100 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T1100; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 216.47 contracts
Outcome Yes: 27.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 73.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $1,100 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,075 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T1075; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 26.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $1,075 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,050 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T1050; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 26 contracts
Outcome Yes: 46.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $1,050 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,025 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T1025; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 59 contracts
Outcome Yes: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $1,025 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $1,000 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV02-T1000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov02
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 34.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $1,000 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US Treasury cash balance on October 30, 2026

Volume$5.11K

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $900 billion?

kalshi

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $900 billion?

Yes: 68.0¢
No: 32.0¢

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $875 billion?

kalshi

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $875 billion?

Yes: 64.5¢
No: 35.5¢

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $850 billion?

kalshi

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $850 billion?

Yes: 56.5¢
No: 43.5¢

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $925 billion?

kalshi

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $925 billion?

Yes: 54.0¢
No: 46.0¢

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $950 billion?

kalshi

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 be above $950 billion?

Yes: 48.0¢
No: 52.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $25.3K · K 41.6K contracts

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.84% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.75% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.79% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.7%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $36.8K · K 15.9K contracts

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.95% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24%Rules differK Yes 14%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $28.3K · K 7.5K contracts

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.25% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.3%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

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Next Market Deadline

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Nov 09, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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US Treasury cash balance on October 30, 2026

US Treasury cash balance on October 30, 2026

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