This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Name: Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.09M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Vol

$1.09M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.09M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.09M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Poly	66%
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Poly	63%
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Poly	40%
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Poly	10%
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$1.09M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conduc

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conduc

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representative"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.09M
* **Total Liquidity:** $115.7K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.38)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $195.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $627.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $81.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $83.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $98.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics