Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Josh Allen Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Total Volume

$42.89

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Josh Allen Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Vol

$42.89

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $42.89

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $42.89

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	97%
Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	93%
Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	78%
Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	56%
Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	31%
Josh Allen: 80,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	7%
Josh Allen: 89,215+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$42.89

Volume

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About This Event

Josh Allen If Josh Allen records at least X career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least X career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Josh Allen Career Regular Season Passing Yards
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Josh Allen

If Josh Allen records at least X career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least X career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Josh Allen records at least 89,215 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 89,215 career regu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $43
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Josh Allen: 89,215+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Josh Allen: 80,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Josh Allen Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Volume$42.89

Markets7

7 of 7

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KALSHI

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIOther

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

If Josh Allen records at least 35,000 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 35,000 career regu

KALSHI

Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIOther

Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards

If Josh Allen records at least 40,000 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 40,000 career regu

KALSHI

Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.0¢No 22.0¢

KALSHIOther

Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards

If Josh Allen records at least 50,000 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 50,000 career regu

KALSHI

Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHIOther

Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards

If Josh Allen records at least 60,000 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 60,000 career regu

KALSHI

Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIOther

Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards

If Josh Allen records at least 70,000 career regular season passing yards before Josh Allen or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen records at least 70,000 career regu

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52¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6gLhDj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Josh Allen Career Regular Season Passing Yards"></iframe>

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Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

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Events (1)

Josh Allen Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Markets (7)

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards

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Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

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Josh Allen Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 35,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards

Josh Allen: 70,000+ Passing Yards

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