Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?

Total Volume

$1.72K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?

Vol

$1.72K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.72K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.72K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 be above 194.3 million pounds?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 be above 194.3 million pounds?	Kalshi	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

23%

Top Probability

$1.72K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

2026 If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 is above 194.3 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Mississippi → Foodsize → Live Weight → Total figure in USDA NASS’s Catfish Production report covering calendar year 2026. The 194.3 million-pound threshold is fixed and will not change if NASS later revises its 2025 figure. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 is above 

194.3 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Mississippi → Foodsize → Live Weight → Total figure in USDA NASS’s Catfish Production report covering calendar year 2026. The 194.3 million-pound threshold is fixed and will not change if NASS later revises its 2025 figure. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 is above 

194.3 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Mississippi → Foodsize → Live Weight → Total figure in USDA NASS’s Catfish Production report covering calend"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 be above 194.3 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics