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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Where will it rain on October 31?

Where will it rain on October 31?
Vol

PM $562.59

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Events

1

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Markets

14

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Los Angeles, CA at 50%.

Polymarket

  1. Los Angeles, CA50%
  2. Chicago, IL50%
  3. Houston, TX50%
  4. Dallas, TX50%
  5. Phoenix, AZ50%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $562.59

Reported volume · provider units

14

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?

K 70.6K contracts
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 92%
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 88%
Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 87.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?

K 68.5K contracts
Will it rain in Tampa between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will it rain in Phoenix between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Yes 95.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Where will it rain on October 30?

Where will it rain on October 30?

PM $1.2K
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 30?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 30?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 30?Yes 99%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $7.83M · K 17.44M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.4%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.4%Rules differK Yes 53.4%

Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.8%Rules differK Yes 36%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

82 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $554.5K · K 22.0K contracts

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 37.5%Rules differK Yes 94%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 92%Rules differK Yes 94%

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)

Related contracts

PM Yes 38.5%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

PM $106.3K
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 15.2%
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 12.3%
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 11%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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