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Events
GroupKALSHI

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?
Vol

K 583 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

35

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Phoenix at 87%.

Kalshi

  1. Phoenix87%
  2. Oklahoma City86.5%
  3. Miami86.5%
  4. Atlanta81.5%
  5. Los Angeles76.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 583 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

35

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2026 If the total precipitation X any day within October 31, 2026 through November 1, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data X can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts, T, and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

K 59.7K contracts
Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 89.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

K 16.8K contracts
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 54.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

K 11.5K contracts
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

K 216.2K contracts
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 26, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Seattle on Oct 26, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Minneapolis on Oct 26, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?

K 36.4K contracts
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 27, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 27, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will it rain in Minneapolis on Oct 27, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?

Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?

K 148.6K contracts
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 28%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 3%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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