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Event GroupKALSHIElections

DC Democratic House delegate nominee?

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DC Democratic House delegate nominee?

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10 markets tracked

Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	65%
Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	26%
Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	3%
Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	3%
Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jacque Patterson be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	2%
Will Greg Maye be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	2%
Will Gordon Chaffin be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	2%
Will Deirdre Brown be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	2%
Will Eleanor Holmes Norton be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?	Kalshi	1%

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65%

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$0.00

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About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after X wins the party's nomination. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** DC Democratic House delegate nominee?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after X wins the party's nomination. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Brooke Pinto wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Brooke Pinto wins the part"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jacque Patterson be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Greg Maye be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gordon Chaffin be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Eleanor Holmes Norton be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Deirdre Brown be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

DC Democratic House delegate nominee?

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Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

If Robert White wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Robert White wins the part

KALSHI

Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

If Brooke Pinto wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Brooke Pinto wins the part

KALSHI

Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

If Kinney Zalesne wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Kinney Zalesne wins the

KALSHI

Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

If Janeese Lewis George wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Janeese Lewis Geor

KALSHI

Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

If Kelly Mikel Williams wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Kelly Mikel Willia

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/AMCm62" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="DC Democratic House delegate nominee?"></iframe>

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DC Democratic House delegate nominee?

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Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

DC Democratic House delegate nominee?

Markets (10)

Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

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Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

DC Democratic House delegate nominee?

Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kinney Zalesne be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Janeese Lewis George be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

Will Kelly Mikel Williams be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?

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