
Will Mamdani run for re-election?
K 2.5K contracts
1
1
Will Mamdani run for re-election?

K 2.5K contracts
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 80.5% on Kalshi.
Kalshi
- Yes80.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 2.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Before Apr 6, 2029 If Zohran Mamdani has announced that he will run for mayor of New York City in 2029 before Apr 6, 2029, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. This market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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