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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?

JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?
Vol

PM $15.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 14%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3114%
  2. October 312%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $15.3K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketEconomy
Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

PM $9.01M
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 65.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 32.6%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 1.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

PM $25.1K
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Yes 29%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Yes 20%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Yes 15%
+5 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

PM $55.01M · K 11.18M contracts

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 96.2%

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 3.1%

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 6 times?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

PM $8.67M · K 3.04M contracts

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 30.5%Rules differK Yes 77.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 76.5%Rules differK Yes 77.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 76.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

66 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

PM $1.93M · K 529.0K contracts

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 90.5%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 89.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

26 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

PM $2.39M
US recession by end of 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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