Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Reported volume

K 0 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Vol

K 0 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 260 at 92.5%.

Kalshi

Above 26092.5%
Above 27090.5%
Above 28077.5%
Above 29060%
Above 30045%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	92.5%
Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	90.5%
Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	77.5%
Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	60.0%
Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	45.0%
Will there be more than 310 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	22.0%
Will there be more than 320 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	13.0%
Will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?	Kalshi	7.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

11/2 - 11/8 If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T330; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 330 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Contract: Will there be more than 320 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T320; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 320 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Contract: Will there be more than 310 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T310; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 310 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Contract: Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T300; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Contract: Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T290; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 290 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Contract: Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T280; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 77.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 22.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Contract: Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T270; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 270 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Contract: Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSUEZWEEKLY-26NOV08-T260; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuezweekly-26nov08
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics