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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?
End: 2026-04-12T21:43:53.693Z

Total Volume

$353.08K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Vol

$353.08K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $353.08K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $353.08K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Poly	100%
MegaETH FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Poly	100%
MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Poly	100%
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Poly	100%
MegaETH FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Poly	100%
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?	Poly	100%
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?	Poly	100%
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?	Poly	2%
MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Poly	0%
MegaETH FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Poly	0%
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Poly	0%
MegaETH FDV above $1.8B one day after launch?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$353.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 12, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.

The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic to"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $353.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $272.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.29)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $11.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. MegaETH FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $9.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $30.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $52.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. MegaETH FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. MegaETH FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $68.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $40.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 10. MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $42.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $60.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. MegaETH FDV above $1.8B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto