Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Vol

PM $59.2K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

21

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Anthropic at 88.7%.

Polymarket

  1. Anthropic88.7%
  2. OpenAI1.1%
  3. Moonshot0.5%
  4. Meta0.4%
  5. Google0.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $59.2K

Reported volume · provider units

21

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $7.08M · K 16.78M contracts

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.6%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.6%Rules differK Yes 30.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

83 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

PM $60.9K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 7.3%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

PM $11.7K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.2%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.4%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

PM $21.6K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

PM $86.6K
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.9%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $459.8K · K 19.2K contracts

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 35.5%Rules differK Yes 83%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 81.8%Rules differK Yes 83%

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)

Related contracts

PM Yes 31%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market