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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
Vol

PM $1.2K

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Events

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 3.4% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes3.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.2K

Reported volume · provider units

1

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

K 4.9K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 96%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 91%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 81%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate election: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Georgia Senate election: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

K 3.6K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 95%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

K 4.1K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 95.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 88.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 69%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

K 2.0K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 98%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 94%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 82%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin?

Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin?

K 36.4K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 42%
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 34.5%
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 6%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

197 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

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