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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Vol

PM $73.5K

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 1-3 at 97.7%.

Polymarket

  1. 1-397.7%
  2. 4-62.1%
  3. 7+<0.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $73.5K

Reported volume ยท provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?

K 62.9K contracts
Will Josephine be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 25%
Will Kyle be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Leah be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

PM $41.8K
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?Yes 8%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?Yes 5.8%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

K 85.4K contracts
Will there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 3%
Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

K 54.6K contracts
Will there be more than 10 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will there be more than 12 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 7.5%
Will there be more than 14 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

K 154.9K contracts
Will there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 8%
Will there be more than 3 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?

K 34.5K contracts
Will Trudy be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Vance be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 83%
Will Yolanda be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 46.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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