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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
Vol

PM $146.96

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Events

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is November 30 at 45%.

Polymarket

  1. November 3045%
  2. December 3140%
  3. October 3118%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $146.96

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

PM $35.7K
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes 75.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes 22%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?Yes 2.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

PM $20.2K
Critical Discord Incident by November 30?Yes 46%
Critical Discord Incident by October 31?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

PM $3.1K
GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?Yes 61%
GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

PM $2.5K
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?

Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?

PM $22.0K
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

PM $918.3K · K 12.1K contracts

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 15%

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 66%Rules differK Yes 72%

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 18%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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