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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?
Vol

PM $20.2K

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Events

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is November 30 at 46%.

Polymarket

  1. November 3046%
  2. October 317%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $20.2K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

PM $35.7K
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes 75.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes 22%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?Yes 2.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

PM $146.96
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?Yes 45%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?Yes 40%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

PM $3.1K
GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?Yes 61%
GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

PM $2.5K
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $175.2K
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 52.9%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.4%
Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 4.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO by __?

Discord IPO by __?

PM $17.6K
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 2.4%
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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