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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will Trump publicly criticize JD Vance?

Will Trump publicly criticize JD Vance?
Vol

K 900.41 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jul 1, 2027 at 47%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jul 1, 202747%
  2. Before Apr 1, 202737.5%
  3. Before Jan 1, 202726.5%
  4. Before Dec 1, 202619.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 900.41 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

2027 If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before X 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of JD Vance The criticism must be directed at JD Vance by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to JD Vance in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning JD Vance in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
2028 Republican Presidential ticket

2028 Republican Presidential ticket

K 133.3K contracts
Will JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 11.8%
Will JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 4.5%
Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 3.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

PM $44.9K · K 664.2K contracts

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

K 16.1K contracts
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Democrat)Yes 86.5%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Economy / Economic)Yes 75.5%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)Yes 73%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

PM $736.22M · K 91.04M contracts

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17.3%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17.8%Rules differK Yes 13.5%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 9.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

34 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Trump pardon?

Who will Trump pardon?

K 472.3K contracts
Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 73%
Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 71%
Will Eric Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 67.5%
+49 moreNext deadline Jan 22, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

PM $795.7K
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 44%
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 44%
Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 10%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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