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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will the U.S. move to revoke Ilhan Omar's citizenship in 2026?

Will the U.S. move to revoke Ilhan Omar's citizenship in 2026?
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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 2027 If the U.S. government sues Ilhan Omar to revoke her U.S. citizenship before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The following also count: A federal criminal charge for unlawfully procuring her naturalization or citizenship, including a false statement made to obtain it (such as under 18 U.S.C. 1425), or a conspiracy to do so A USCIS or DHS notice of intent to cancel her certificate of citizenship, certificate of naturalization, or another citizenship document or record (8 U.S.C. 1453) A removal, civil or immigration-court proceeding brought by the U.S. government asserting that she is not a U.S. citizen The following do NOT count: Public statements or announcements of intent Search warrants, grand jury subpoenas, target letters and seizures of property The opening or continuation of an investigation Passport actions Proceedings Omar brings, even if the government contests her citizenship in them Other criminal charges, including charges for later claims of citizenship such as passport or voting statements This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

K 110.9K contracts
Will Ilhan Omar's U.S. citizenship be revoked before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent

MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent

K 5.1K contracts
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 94%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

PM $39.6K
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

PM $34.7K · K 3.33M contracts

Obama federally charged before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 4.5%Review neededK Yes 5.2%

Obama federally charged before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 2.7%

Obama arrested before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.7%Rules differK Yes 2.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

PM $37.8K
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027Yes 13%
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?

US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?

PM $7.4K
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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