
Will the U.S. move to revoke Ilhan Omar's citizenship in 2026?
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Will the U.S. move to revoke Ilhan Omar's citizenship in 2026?

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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Before Jan 2027 If the U.S. government sues Ilhan Omar to revoke her U.S. citizenship before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The following also count: A federal criminal charge for unlawfully procuring her naturalization or citizenship, including a false statement made to obtain it (such as under 18 U.S.C. 1425), or a conspiracy to do so A USCIS or DHS notice of intent to cancel her certificate of citizenship, certificate of naturalization, or another citizenship document or record (8 U.S.C. 1453) A removal, civil or immigration-court proceeding brought by the U.S. government asserting that she is not a U.S. citizen The following do NOT count: Public statements or announcements of intent Search warrants, grand jury subpoenas, target letters and seizures of property The opening or continuation of an investigation Passport actions Proceedings Omar brings, even if the government contests her citizenship in them Other criminal charges, including charges for later claims of citizenship such as passport or voting statements This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
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