Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent

Total Volume

$3.31K

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Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent

Vol

$3.31K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.31K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.31K

100%

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8 markets tracked

Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	98%
Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	98%
Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	95%
Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	85%
Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	57%
Will Amy Acton receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	32%
Will Amy Acton receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	10%
Will Amy Acton receive at least 59% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$3.31K

Volume

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Amy Acton If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Amy Acton

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is 59% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast) × "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Amy Acton receive at least 59% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $378
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Amy Acton receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Amy Acton receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $222
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $711
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $188
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $814
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $483
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent

Volume$3.31K

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KALSHI

Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is 41% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is 47% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

KALSHI

Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Amy Acton in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Amy Acton ÷ total valid votes cast) ×

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60¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/O6GOmL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent"></iframe>

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Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent

Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent

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Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

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Events (1)

Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent

Markets (8)

Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

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Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent

Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

Will Amy Acton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?

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