GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Name: Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner
End: 2027-05-01T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$31.29K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Vol

$31.29K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $31.29K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $31.29K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	21%
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	14%
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	11%
Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	10%
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	7%
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	6%
Will Vojislav Šešelj win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	3%
Will Branimir Nestorović win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	3%
Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	3%
Will Miloš Jovanović win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	3%
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

21%

Top Probability

$31.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2027 (239 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. 

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. 

This market will resolve according to t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $109.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.29)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $878
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $542
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Vojislav Šešelj win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $413
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Branimir Nestorović win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $832
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $652
  DATA: [Yes: 9.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $629
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Miloš Jovanović win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $702
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $829
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2027): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics