Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Reported volume

PM $402.5K

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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Vol

PM $402.5K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Marine Le Pen at 90.5%.

Polymarket

Marine Le Pen90.5%
Édouard Philippe45.5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon38%
David Lisnard14.4%
Raphaël Glucksmann13.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

36 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(36)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	90.5%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	45.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	38.0%
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	14.4%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	13.3%
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	6.0%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	5.5%
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	5.5%
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	5.4%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	5.2%
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.7%
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.7%
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.5%
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.5%
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.5%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.2%
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.2%
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.2%
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	4.1%
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	3.9%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	3.8%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	3.7%
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	3.4%
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	3.3%
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	3.1%
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	2.5%
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	2.4%
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	2.3%
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	2.3%
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	2.1%
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	2.1%
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	1.5%
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	1.4%
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	1.2%
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	1.2%
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Poly	1.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $402.5K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $402.5K
Coverage: 36 of 36 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371045; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marine-le-pen-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $18.2K
Outcome Yes: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371046; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $23.6K
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371047; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ric-zemmour-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $741.71
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371048; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-douard-philippe-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $9.8K
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371049; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-david-lisnard-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $175.6K
Outcome Yes: 14.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371050; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-xavier-bertrand-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.6K
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371051; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-laurent-wauquiez-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $920.67
Outcome Yes: 2.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371052; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-franois-ruffin-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $7.2K
Outcome Yes: 4.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371053; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gabriel-attal-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.8K
Outcome Yes: 5.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371054; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bruno-retailleau-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.1K
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371055; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-franois-hollande-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $15.8K
Outcome Yes: 5.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371056; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-raphal-glucksmann-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $11.2K
Outcome Yes: 13.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371057; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jean-luc-mlenchon-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $24.5K
Outcome Yes: 38.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 62.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371058; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marine-tondelier-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.9K
Outcome Yes: 2.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371059; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fabien-roussel-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8.3K
Outcome Yes: 3.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371060; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-olivier-faure-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.0K
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371061; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dominique-de-villepin-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.1K
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371063; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sgolne-royal-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.9K
Outcome Yes: 3.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371065; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-franois-asselineau-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 4.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371067; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-clmentine-autain-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.8K
Outcome Yes: 2.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371069; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nicolas-dupont-aignan-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 3.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371071; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-michel-barnier-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.3K
Outcome Yes: 1.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371073; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-valrie-pcresse-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.2K
Outcome Yes: 1.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371075; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-franois-bayrou-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.2K
Outcome Yes: 3.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371077; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lisabeth-borne-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.6K
Outcome Yes: 3.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371079; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yal-braun-pivet-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.7K
Outcome Yes: 4.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371081; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jean-castex-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.1K
Outcome Yes: 1.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371083; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-grald-darmanin-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: 4.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371085; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-carole-delga-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $11.3K
Outcome Yes: 2.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371087; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bernard-cazeneuve-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.7K
Outcome Yes: 3.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371089; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-manuel-bompard-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $7.3K
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371091; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mathilde-panot-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 2.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371095; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sarah-knafo-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.3K
Outcome Yes: 4.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371097; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-juan-branco-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.5K
Outcome Yes: 4.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371099; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-clmence-guett-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.3K
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Contract: Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2371101; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sbastien-lecornu-advance-to-the-second-round-of-the-next-french-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.5K
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Volume$402.50K

Markets36

36 of 36

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Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

polymarket

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Yes: 90.5¢
No: 9.5¢

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

polymarket

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Yes: 45.5¢
No: 54.5¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

polymarket

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Yes: 38.0¢
No: 62.0¢

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

polymarket

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Yes: 14.4¢
No: 85.5¢

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

polymarket

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Yes: 13.3¢
No: 86.8¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

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Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

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Argentina Presidential Election Winner

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Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

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Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

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Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

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Same question, fine print differs

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

31 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC

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Next Market Deadline

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Apr 19, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

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