New Jersey gas prices this week
K 6.5K contracts
1
21
New Jersey gas prices this week
K 6.5K contracts
1
21
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 3.8600 at 93.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 3.860093.5%
- Above 3.840093.5%
- Above 3.880093%
- Above 3.900078%
- Above 3.920066.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 6.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
21
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Nov 16, 2026 If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than X on Nov 16, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-13T06:00:06.156Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "New Jersey gas prices this week" resolves on average regular gas prices for New Jersey on November 16, 2026, according to AAA. The source states that if the average is "strictly greater than X on Nov 16, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each threshold market therefore asks whether the average on that date will be strictly greater than a specific dollar amount. Readers should note that the market titles say "above," while the rule text says "strictly greater than," so a price exactly at the threshold would not count as a Yes under the rule as excerpted.
The source lists the provider status as active and the listed end time as not supplied [1]. The market records carry an endDate of 2026-11-23T15:00:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is a listed close time in the saved data. It is not the resolution date stated in the contract rules, which is November 16, 2026. Readers should not treat the two dates as interchangeable.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-13T06:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-11-13T06:37:30Z [1]. These are the only time references this summary can support. The prices describe that observation, not live conditions when you read this.
Within the included sample, the Yes prices step down as the threshold rises. The $3.86 market shows Yes at 0.935, the $3.90 market at 0.78, the $3.94 market at 0.34, and the $3.98 market at 0.08 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The same snapshot shows Yes and No prices that sum to about one for each market, but that does not confirm a tradable spread.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 21 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The selection rule ranks markets by finite Yes price, highest first, then by volume [1]. Because of that rule, the 9 omitted markets are not a complete picture of the field, and the sample should not be read as implying anything about their prices. Volume is not liquidity or a count of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no reporting on recent gas price news. It also does not say what AAA's average will be on November 16, 2026. Because only one Kalshi event is supplied, no comparison with other platforms is possible here. Differences in threshold wording or listed close times across platforms should be checked against each contract's own rules before any comparison is drawn.
References
- Kalshi: New Jersey gas prices this week. Provider data observed 2026-11-13T06:00:06.156Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 13, 2026 UTCOverview
This market, listed on Kalshi, asks whether the average regular gas price in New Jersey will be strictly greater than a chosen threshold X on November 16, 2026, according to AAA. If the condition is met, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The contract is therefore tied to one reported figure on one date, not to a general trend across the week. The listed end time for the event was not supplied in the provider record [1]. The date of November 16, 2026 appears in the contract rules, but that date is a rule for resolution and should not be read as an announced event or a schedule of any official release [1]. Each threshold in the market is a separate contract. The sampled thresholds run from $3.86 to $4.06 for the average regular gas price [1]. A Yes outcome on a higher threshold requires a higher average price than a Yes outcome on a lower threshold, so the contracts are related but not interchangeable. The market title refers to gas prices this week, but the resolution test is the single AAA figure described in the rules [1]. The price data attached to these contracts is a snapshot. The observation time recorded for the provider event is 2026-11-13T06:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-13T06:37:30Z [1]. These times describe when the information was collected, not when the contract closes or resolves. The market records show an end date of 2026-11-23T15:00:00Z for the sampled contracts, which is a listed date in the provider data and not a confirmed resolution time [1]. Prices shown at the snapshot are not executable quotes and are not verified probabilities of any outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether a specified average regular gas price for New Jersey, as reported by AAA on November 16, 2026, is strictly above a given level [1]. Because the rules name one reference source and one date, the outcome depends on that reported figure rather than on news coverage or on any particular station's price [1]. The threshold ladder lets a reader compare how the snapshot prices change as the level rises. In the sampled contracts, Yes prices fall as the threshold increases, with the $3.86 contract at 0.935 and the $3.94 contract at 0.34 at the snapshot [1]. These values reflect the market's price at that moment and do not establish what the average price will be. The sample is partial. The event lists 21 markets, and 12 are included here. The included markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, then by volume, so the sample is not the full set of thresholds [1]. Omitted thresholds should not be assumed to carry any particular price, and the sample should not be combined with rankings from other events or providers. Volume recorded for a contract is not a measure of liquidity or of the number of traders.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-13 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What exactly determines whether the market resolves to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the average regular gas price for New Jersey is strictly greater than the stated threshold X on November 16, 2026, according to AAA [1]. A value equal to the threshold does not meet the strict test described in the rules [1].
Does the snapshot price mean the chance that gas prices will exceed a level?
No. The price is a snapshot of a contract at a recorded time, and it is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1]. The observation and retrieval times are recorded as 2026-11-13 at 06:00 and 06:37 UTC, so the figures describe that moment only [1].
Why are only some thresholds shown?
The event has 21 markets and the sample includes 12 of them. The included markets were chosen by the highest finite Yes price and then by volume, so the sample is partial and not the complete field [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
