Top Global Netflix Movie this week?
K 1.4K contracts
1
13
Top Global Netflix Movie this week?
K 1.4K contracts
1
13
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Animals at 45%.
Kalshi
- Animals45%
- From: Season 144.5%
- Doing Life44.5%
- Corpse Bride43.5%
- Ice Age 4: Continental Drift43%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.4K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
13
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 If X Y is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether a title will be the top entry on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart. The rules state: "If X is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The individual market titles say "on Oct 19, 2026," but the rules refer to the chart published on Oct 20, 2026, which covers the week ending the previous Sunday. [1] The rule text should guide interpretation, not the shorthand in the title.
The rules also say the charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before. [1] The saved market records list an end date of 2026-10-26T14:00:00.000Z, yet the excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] These entries do not reconcile, so this snapshot does not establish a close time.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z and retrieved at 2026-10-20T08:51:54.188Z. [1] It is an archived record and describes prices at the observation time only, not current conditions.
The saved sample contains ten titles, and the coverage record marks it as complete with no partial sample flag. [1] Within that sample, the Animals market shows a Yes price of 0.995 and a No price of 0.005. [1] The other nine titles each show a Yes price of 0.005 and a No price of 0.995. [1]
These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved data includes no volume or trade counts, so it cannot speak to liquidity or to how many participants hold a given view. The excerpt gives no explanation for the observed pattern.
What remains uncertain
The record says all saved markets for this event are included, but it does not establish that the provider lists every possible title. [1] The excerpt contains no reason for the prices and no information about events after the observation time. Because the close time is not supplied in the excerpt, readers should check the provider's current rules before drawing conclusions about timing.
References
- Kalshi: Top Global Netflix Movie this week?. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia tracks a Kalshi event asking which title will be the top global Netflix movie on a given weekly chart. According to the provider's rules, if the title named in each contract is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on Nov 3, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The rules state that the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published. The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The event is a set of binary contracts, one for each candidate title. Each contract is a yes or no question about the same chart result. The titles in the sample include films and series, such as Animals, From: Season 1, Doing Life, Ice Age 4: Continental Drift, and Corpse Bride [1]. Because the rules tie every contract to one chart, the candidates compete for the same outcome. The provider lists the event as active, but no listed end time is supplied in the saved rules [1]. The market titles refer to Nov 2, 2026, while the resolution rule refers to the chart published Nov 3, 2026 [1]. Readers should read the full provider rules before relying on either date.
Historical Context
Netflix, Inc. is described as an American media company founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California. The company is currently based in Los Gatos, California, and it owns and operates the eponymous over-the-top subscription video on-demand service [3]. The supplied sources do not describe the history of the Top 10 chart itself.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which title Netflix ranks first on one specific Top 10 Global Movie chart, as defined by the provider's rules [1]. Because the outcome depends on a published chart and a fixed closing time, the rules determine which week's performance counts. The sample prices shown elsewhere on this page are snapshots from the provider observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not indicate how a title will perform on the chart [1]. The sample is also partial: it includes 12 of the 13 markets in the saved provider event, so it is not the full field of candidate titles.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a contract to resolve Yes?
A contract resolves to Yes if the named title is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on Nov 3, 2026 [1].
When does trading close?
The provider states that the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published [1]. The saved rules do not supply a separate listed end time [1].
Does Netflix endorse this market?
No. The provider states that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].
Why does the market title say Nov 2 when the rule refers to Nov 3?
The saved evidence includes both dates. The market titles refer to Nov 2, 2026, while the resolution rule refers to the chart published on Nov 3, 2026 [1]. The supplied evidence does not explain the difference, so the full provider rules should be checked.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
