Top Global Netflix Show this week?
K 1.0K contracts
1
13
Top Global Netflix Show this week?
K 1.0K contracts
1
13
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 at 55%.
Kalshi
- The One About Matthew Perry: Season 155%
- Nobody Wants This: Season 336%
- Love Is Blind: S11: Boston2.5%
- From: Season 11.5%
- TYSON: Limited Series1.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.0K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
13
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 If X Y is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether a specific title will be ranked number one on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart. Under the stated rule, a market resolves to Yes if "X Y is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026" [1]. The rule also says the chart "will be for the week ending the previous Sunday" [1]. Each listed market names a different title, so each is a separate yes-or-no question about the same chart.
Timing needs care. The rule says the market "will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before" the Tuesday chart publication [1]. The market records, however, show an end date of "2026-11-02T14:00:00.000Z" [1], and the market titles refer to "Oct 26, 2026" [1]. The rule's listed end time is also recorded as "not supplied" [1]. These entries do not clearly line up, so readers should confirm the close time and resolution date on the platform before relying on either.
Reading the snapshot
The data was observed at "2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z" and retrieved at "2026-10-22T05:53:40.728Z" [1]. These prices describe that observation only and are not live quotes. They are also not executable prices, and they are not verified probabilities.
Among the included markets, "Will Nobody Wants This: Season 3 be Top Global Netflix Show on Oct 26, 2026?" shows Yes at 0.51 and No at 0.49 [1]. "Will The New Stanford Prison Experiment..." shows Yes at 0.475 [1]. Several other titles sit in the 0.43 to 0.465 range, while the lowest included Yes prices are 0.005 to 0.015 [1]. These differences describe relative quoted prices in this snapshot. They do not indicate why any price moved or how many participants hold a view.
Volume is not liquidity or trader count, and different contracts with different prices do not create an arbitrage opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The sample is partial. The event has 13 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The selection rule ranks markets by highest Yes price, then volume [1]. The one omitted market is unknown, and its absence does not mean it priced lower. Rankings should not be combined with markets from other events or providers.
The source does not explain the price movements, report trader activity, or describe any news affecting the charts. Historical accuracy of these prices is not established by this evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Top Global Netflix Show this week?. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This Kalshi contract asks which show will rank first on Netflix's Top 10 Global Show chart for a specific week. The event is titled "Top Global Netflix Show this week?" [1]. Its stated rule is that if a title is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each show-specific market in the sample asks whether a particular title will be top on that chart. The contract rules tie the outcome to a publication date and a closing time. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published. The chart published on Oct 27, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The provider lists the event as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The market records in the sample show an end date of 2026-11-02T14:00:00.000Z [1]. That field is a recorded provider date and should not be read as an announced Netflix event or as the date the chart outcome is determined. The contract rules also state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix, and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1]. The contract therefore depends on Netflix's chart rather than on any endorsement or affiliation. The sample shows yes prices for 12 of the 13 markets recorded for this event. Nobody Wants This: Season 3 had the highest included Yes price at 0.51, followed by The New Stanford Prison Experiment at 0.475 and TYSON: Limited Series and The Diplomat: Season 4 at 0.465 each [1]. Several other included titles had lower Yes prices, including Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2 at 0.155 and several titles near 0.01 or 0.005 [1]. These are observed snapshot prices from the sample time. They are not executable quotes, not verified probabilities, and not a measure of how much trading occurred.
Historical Context
The supplied Wikipedia excerpt for Netflix, Inc. states that the company was founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California [3]. The same excerpt describes the company as currently based in Los Gatos, California, with production offices and stages in Los Angeles and Albuquerque [3]. This is background from a retrieved encyclopedia excerpt and does not verify current company events. The excerpt also notes that Netflix is the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [3].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single ranking result. It asks whether a named title will hold the #1 position on Netflix's Top 10 Global Show chart for the week covered by the chart published on October 27, 2026 [1]. Because the rule is tied to one published chart, the outcome depends on Netflix's publication and the contract's own closing terms rather than on general popularity over time. Netflix's service is described as an over-the-top subscription video on-demand service that distributes original and acquired films and television shows in multiple languages [2], which helps explain why its title rankings are a recurring category of market.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a show-specific market to resolve Yes?
The named show must be #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026 [1].
Why does the market close before the chart is published?
The contract states that the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published [1].
Which week does the October 27, 2026 chart cover?
The contract says the chart published on Oct 27, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday [1].
Are the listed prices the likelihood that a show will rank first?
No. The prices are observed snapshot prices from the sample time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as the chance of a particular outcome [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
