Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event asks which title will rank No. 2 on Netflix's Top 10 Global Movie chart. According to the rules excerpt, a market resolves to Yes if the title is No. 2 "on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026," and that chart covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The excerpt also says the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before [1]. The event title and the individual market titles use different dates. The market titles refer to "Oct 26, 2026," while the rules refer to the chart published on Oct 27 [1]. The excerpt also states that the product is not endorsed by Netflix [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-22T01:51:57.745Z [1]. These figures describe that earlier observation, not live conditions at the time you read this. Each of the 11 markets lists a Yes and a No price that sum to 1.00 in the snapshot [1].

Animals and Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex show the highest Yes prices, at 0.475 each. UNABOMBER, Ice Age, Ice Age: Continental Drift, Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs, Ice Age: Collision Course, Doing Life, Corpse Bride, and Anyone But You show 0.47 Yes [1]. The gap between the top and lower prices is 0.005 in this snapshot. Because the entire saved event is one provider's market set, these prices are comparable within this event only.

Each listed market shows an endDate of 2026-11-02T14:00:00.000Z [1]. The source's excerpt states that the listed end time was not supplied, and its closing description refers to 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart date [1]. The evidence does not reconcile these, so this response does not treat either as a confirmed resolution time.

The coverage record shows 11 of 11 markets included with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. Ranking within this sample therefore says nothing about titles that were not saved.

What remains uncertain

These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how deep the market is or how many participants hold a view. It also does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no recent chart results or information about the October 27 chart. Differences between these contracts do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity, given the differing contract wording and listed close fields.

References

1. Kalshi: #2 Global Netflix Movie this week?. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.