#2 Global Netflix Show this week?
K 1.6K contracts
1
13
#2 Global Netflix Show this week?
K 1.6K contracts
1
13
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Nobody Wants This: Season 3 at 51%.
Kalshi
- Nobody Wants This: Season 351%
- The One About Matthew Perry: Season 133%
- Love Is Blind: S11: Boston3.5%
- From: Season 11.5%
- TYSON: Limited Series1.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.6K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
13
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 If X Y is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks which show will rank second on Netflix's global Top 10 chart. The supplied rule text says: "If X Y is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each listed contract names a different show and asks whether it will hold that position on "Oct 26, 2026" [1]. The rule text also says the chart "will be for the week ending the previous Sunday" and that the market "will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before" [1]. Readers should note that the contract titles cite Oct 26 while the resolution text cites the chart published Oct 27, so the wording should be checked before relying on any single date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-22T04:52:46.993Z [1]. These are the times for this record only and do not show current prices. The Yes prices in the included sample range from 0.470 to 0.485 [1]. Several contracts share identical prices, so the sample does not separate them. The listed market end date is 2026-11-02T14:00:00.000Z, which differs from the close time described in the rule text [1]. The source excerpt also states that the listed end time is "not supplied," so the discrepancy cannot be resolved from this evidence.
The sample is partial. Twelve of 13 markets in the saved event are included, and the selection favored higher Yes prices [1]. The omitted market's price is not known from this record, so it should not be assumed to be lower. Prices are snapshots rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities. Trading volume is not included in this record, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why any price moved, how many traders hold each view, or what the current Netflix chart shows. It also does not confirm which show will finish second. Because the rule text and contract titles reference different dates and the end time is inconsistent, readers should confirm the governing close time on the platform before comparing these contracts. Prices from this single event should not be compared with prices from other events or platforms, since the questions differ.
References
- Kalshi: #2 Global Netflix Show this week?. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "#2 Global Netflix Show this week?" The contract asks whether a specific Netflix title will rank second on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to Yes if the title is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on Oct 27, 2026 [1]. That chart covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The rules also state that Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before [1]. The saved event lists individual contracts for several titles, each asking whether that specific show will hold the #2 position on the Oct 26, 2026 date in the market titles [1]. Each contract is a separate yes or no question, so one title holding the #2 spot would not by itself settle the others in a way the supplied rules describe. The rules state that the event is not endorsed by Netflix and that references to Netflix and its marks are descriptive only [1]. Kalshi is the listed platform for these contracts [1]. The saved provider event lists an end time that differs from the closing time written in the rules. The rules describe a close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published, while the saved listing field shows a November 2, 2026 timestamp [1]. Readers should treat the rule text as the description of the contract's terms and avoid assuming the listed timestamp is the resolution time.
Historical Context
Netflix, Inc. was founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California, and is currently based in Los Gatos, California according to its Wikipedia entry [3]. The company owns and operates a subscription video on-demand service that shows acquired and original programming as well as licensed third-party content [3]. The same source notes that Netflix was the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [3]. These are historical background facts from the supplied encyclopedia entry and do not describe the current chart position of any title.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow ranking outcome: whether a named show appears in the #2 position on a specific Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart [1]. Because the chart is tied to a publication date and a week-ending period, the contract's outcome depends on the chart published on that date rather than on general popularity over time [1]. A price on the contract is a market snapshot, and it is not a verified probability that a title will reach #2 [1]. The number of contracts listed for the event reflects the saved provider data and does not describe the full set of shows that could hold that position.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require in this contract?
A Yes outcome requires the named title to be #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on Oct 27, 2026 [1]. The chart covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1].
When does the market close?
The rules state that the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published [1]. The saved listing also shows a different end timestamp, so the rule text is the clearer description of the close [1].
Is this contract endorsed by Netflix?
No. The rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].
Does a price on this contract show the true chance of an outcome?
No. The supplied market data are snapshots at a point in time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as the true chance that a title reaches #2 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
