Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI
Who will be Chair of House Financial Services?
Reported volume
K 1.4K contracts
Events
1
Markets
5
Who will be Chair of House Financial Services?
Vol
K 1.4K contracts
|
Events
1
|
Markets
5
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Maxine Waters at 89.5%.
Kalshi
- Maxine Waters89.5%
- Brad Sherman3.5%
- Bill Foster3.5%
- Sean Casten2.5%
- French Hill2.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.4K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
For the 120th Congress If X is the first Chair of House Financial Services for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. If no named person is the first Chair of House Financial Services for the 120th Congress by Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire after the Chair is seated.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
KalshiPolitics
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
K 109.0K contractsWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 78%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 65.5%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 61.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?
K 6.1K contractsWill the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 56%
Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 41.5%
Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 28%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
K 4.2K contractsWill the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 63.5%
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
K 2.74M contractsWill Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 18.5%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 11.5%
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 5.5%
+59 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next DNC Chair?
K 4.1K contractsWill Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 13.7%
Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 13.6%
Will David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 9.6%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Closest House race in 2026?
K 0 contractsWill PA-01 have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections?Yes 4.2%
Will CO-03 have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections?Yes 4.2%
Will AZ-02 have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections?Yes 4.2%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
