GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

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What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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12 markets tracked

Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	46%
Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	40%
Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will Pena be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	14%
Will Ulana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will Keli be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Hone be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Akoni be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Iona be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ema be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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49%

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About This Event

Central Pacific in 2026 If a storm named X is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Central Pacific in 2026

If a storm named X is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a storm named Wale is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ulana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pena be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Keli be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Iona be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Hone be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ema be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Akoni be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets12

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KALSHI

Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Nolo is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Lala is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Olana is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Moke is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

If a storm named Wale is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

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Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

Markets (12)

Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Nolo be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Lala be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Moke be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?

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