Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Name: Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27)
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.87K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Vol

$6.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Le Havre be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Le Havre be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	70%
Will Troyes be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	44%
Will Le Mans be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	41%
Will Auxerre be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	30%
Will Angers be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	28%
Will Brest be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	20%
Will Nice be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	16%
Will Toulouse be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	15%
Will Lorient be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	14%
Will Lens be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	9%
Will Marseille be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	6%
Will Strasbourg be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	5%
Will Lille be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	4%
Will Paris FC be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	3%
Will Rennes be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	3%
Will Paris Saint-Germain be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	3%
Will Lyon be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	3%
Will Monaco be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$6.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Ligue 1 at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1. If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Ligue 1 at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1.

If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Ligue 1 at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Angers be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Auxerre be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Brest be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Le Havre be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $221
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Le Mans be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lens be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lille be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $551
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lorient be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lyon be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Marseille be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $102
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Monaco be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $296
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Nice be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Paris FC be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Paris Saint-Germain be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Rennes be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Strasbourg be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Toulouse be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $62
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Troyes be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $320
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports