MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
PM $1.30M
1
3
MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
PM $1.30M
1
3
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Cam Schlittler at 99.7%.
Polymarket
- Cam Schlittler99.7%
- Dylan Cease0.3%
- Parker Messick<0.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.30M
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks which player will win the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. The source states that "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award." [1] The rules also cover edge cases. In a tie, the market resolves "according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules." If multiple winners are announced, it resolves to "the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically." If the season is cancelled, or if "postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET," or there is otherwise no winner declared in that window, the market resolves to "Other." [1]
The resolution source is "official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." [1]
Each named player has a separate contract with its own end date. The Schlittler and Messick contracts list an end date of 2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z, while the Cease contract lists 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z. [1] These differences in listed close times matter when comparing contracts, because they do not describe the same window of time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-08T12:52:30.028Z. [1] These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Later prices may differ.
The saved sample includes three contracts. Dylan Cease's Yes price was 0.0035, Cam Schlittler's Yes price was 0.9965, and Parker Messick's Yes price was 0.0005. [1] The sample is marked as complete for this saved event, with 3 of 3 markets included and no partial sample flag. [1] The source also warns that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1] The "Other" outcome described in the rules does not appear as a priced contract in this snapshot, so its price cannot be read from this record.
Volume and liquidity are not included in the interpretation here. The record does not show trader counts or why prices are where they are.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the award has been announced, what the official MLB result will be, or any news affecting these prices. The snapshot cannot establish a current price. Because the contracts have different listed end times and resolution wording, prices across them should not be treated as a single combined forecast.
References
- Polymarket: MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 8, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
PredictPedia's saved event, "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner", is a Polymarket event tied to the American League Cy Young Award for the 2026 season. Each contract asks whether a named pitcher will win that award. The rules say the market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award [1]. The rules also cover unusual outcomes. In a tie, the market resolves according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced, the market resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z, which corresponds to that December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET cutoff [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from Major League Baseball, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The contract closing time and the resolution itself are separate matters. A listed end time describes when the contract closes, and the rules describe the condition for resolution. Neither is an announced date for the award.
Historical Context
The supplied background describes Cy Young's career as spanning from his entry into the majors in 1890 through his retirement in 1911, with stints in the National League and American League [2]. Justin Verlander's career is described as ending in 2026, and he is described as a three-time Cy Young Award winner [3]. The supplied sources do not describe how the Cy Young Award has been awarded over time, so this article does not add further award history.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which pitcher MLB officially names as the 2026 American League Cy Young Award winner, under the event rules [1]. Because the rules name official MLB information as the primary resolution source, the contract is tied to that official determination rather than to general opinion [1]. The tie, multiple-winner, and no-winner provisions define how the contract would settle in those cases [1]. The saved sample contains three contracts from this event: Cam Schlittler at a Yes price of 0.9965, Dylan Cease at 0.0035, and Parker Messick at 0.0005 [1]. These are snapshots at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, but it does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. The "Other" outcome described in the rules does not appear among the saved contracts, so its price is not available from this sample. Cease's contract and the Schlittler and Messick contracts show different listed end times, which reflect the contract closing times rather than separate award announcement dates [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-08 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does the contract resolve to?
Each contract resolves based on whether the named pitcher is the winner of the 2026 American League Cy Young Award [1]. The rules say the market will resolve to the player who wins that award [1].
What happens if there is a tie?
In the event of a tie, the market resolves according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules [1].
What happens if the season is cancelled or no winner is declared in time?
If the season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to Other [1].
Does a price show the chance that a pitcher wins?
No. The saved prices are snapshots at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The sample also does not establish that every possible outcome is listed.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
PM $1.12M
AL Cy Young Winner
K 2.97M contracts
MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year
PM $9.8K
Silver Slugger: AL Second Baseman
K 824.77 contracts
MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
PM $429.6K
MLB: 2026 AL MVP
PM $1.06MMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
