This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Name: MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
End: 2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.58K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Vol

$12.58K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.58K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.58K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	22%
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	13%
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	12%
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	12%
Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	7%
Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	7%
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	4%
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	3%
Will Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Joe Ryan win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Bryce Miller win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Carlos Rodón win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Ranger Suarez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will George Kirby win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Cole Ragans win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%
Will Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%
Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

22%

Top Probability

$12.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resol

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 12, 2026 (91 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resol

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $74.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $239
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $173
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $523
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $178
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Joe Ryan win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $566
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ranger Suarez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will George Kirby win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $550
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Carlos Rodón win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $464
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $865
  DATA: [Yes: 12.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Bryce Miller win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $173
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $962
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $740
  DATA: [Yes: 12.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.6% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $145
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $866
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Cole Ragans win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $613
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $269
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $793
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $753
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $414
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports