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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Name: CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.62K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Vol

$2.62K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.62K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.62K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Poly	62%
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Poly	31%
Will Tiffany Rodgers be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Poly	9%
Will Christopher Oldfield be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Poly	5%
Will Wanda James be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Poly	3%
Will Carter Hanson be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Poly	2%
Will Santiago Palomino be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$2.62K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. An

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

An

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.15)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Christopher Oldfield be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $277
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tiffany Rodgers be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $162
  DATA: [Yes: 8.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Carter Hanson be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $162
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $774
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Santiago Palomino be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $837
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Wanda James be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $233
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics