Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Name: Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-09T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$84.72K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Vol

$84.72K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $84.72K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $84.72K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Poly	58%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	Poly	13%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Poly	13%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Poly	8%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Poly	4%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?	Poly	2%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?	Poly	2%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

58%

Top Probability

$84.72K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resoluti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 9, 2027 (87 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.

The resoluti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 1"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $84.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.5K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 19.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $30.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $21.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 9, 2027): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy