Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
PM $8.0K
1
1
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
PM $8.0K
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 0.4% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes0.4%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $8.0K
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner or his spouse announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. Announcements of separations will not alone qualify. If Graham Platner or his spouse officially file for divorce without such an announcement, a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be statements from Graham Platner, his spouse, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract asks whether Graham Platner or his spouse will announce an intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET [1]. The rules state that an announcement of intent is enough for a "Yes" resolution, even if the divorce later occurs outside the market's timeframe [1]. Separation announcements alone do not qualify [1].
The rules also set out how a filing would count. If a filing occurs without an announcement, "a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution" [1]. The stated resolution source is statements from Platner, his spouse, and their official representatives, though credible reporting may also be used [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-16T00:06:51.875Z [1]. These times describe when the snapshot was taken. They do not confirm that prices have not changed since.
The saved snapshot shows the "Yes" outcome at 0.0355 and the "No" outcome at 0.9645 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The provider status was active when observed [1].
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there is no other outcome in the saved sample to compare against.
What remains uncertain
This snapshot does not show why prices are where they are, and it does not show trading activity. The evidence includes no volume or trader data, so it cannot indicate liquidity or how many participants hold a view.
The evidence also contains no reporting on the underlying situation beyond the contract wording itself. A reader should not treat the price as a forecast of the outcome. Contracts on other platforms or with different wording, such as different close times or resolution sources, should not be compared directly with this one.
References
- Polymarket: Graham Platner divorce by October 31?. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract asking whether Graham Platner or his spouse will divorce by October 31, 2026. The contract resolves "Yes" if Platner or his spouse announces an intention to divorce, announces a completed divorce, or files for divorce by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026. Otherwise it resolves "No" [1]. The rules count an announced intention to divorce as enough for a "Yes" resolution, even if the divorce never occurs or occurs after the market closes [1]. Announcements of separation alone do not qualify [1]. If a filing occurs without an announcement, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting that the filing took place to support a "Yes" resolution [1]. The stated resolution source is statements from Platner, his spouse, and their official representatives, although the rules also allow a consensus of credible reporting [1]. The provider lists the contract as active, with a listed end time of 2026-11-01T03:59:00Z, which corresponds to the October 31 deadline in Eastern Time [1]. That end time is the contract's closing time. It is not an announced event date, and nothing in the supplied material says that any announcement, filing or resolution has occurred.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific personal event, a divorce announcement, filing or completed divorce, is publicly announced or filed by the stated deadline [1]. Its price is a market snapshot of how traders are pricing that question at the time of observation, not a verified probability that the event will happen. The rules' resolution criteria matter more than the headline wording: a separation announcement alone does not count, and a divorce announced after the deadline would still count if the announcement itself came in time [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What would make this market resolve Yes?
An announcement by Graham Platner or his spouse of an intention to divorce, an announcement of a completed divorce, or a filing for divorce by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET [1].
Does announcing a separation count?
No. The rules state that announcements of separations will not alone qualify for a Yes resolution [1].
Does the divorce itself need to happen before the deadline?
No. An announcement of intention to divorce is sufficient, regardless of whether the divorce later occurs or occurs outside the market's timeframe [1].
What if a filing happens without an announcement?
The rules say that a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a Yes resolution [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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