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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Vol

PM $2.03M

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Events

1

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Markets

16

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 82.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Alberto Núñez Feijóo82.5%
  2. Pedro Sánchez14.1%
  3. Santiago Abascal2.6%
  4. Isabel Díaz Ayuso0.5%
  5. Carlos Cuerpo0.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $2.03M

Reported volume · provider units

16

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

K 19.8K contracts
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 80%
Will Pedro Sánchez become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 17.5%
Will Santiago Abascal become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Aug 22, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

PM $49.70M · K 124.6K contracts

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50.2%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

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PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 6.2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?

K 4.0K contracts
What will Andy Burnham say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)? (Ukraine / Ukrainian)Yes 90.5%
What will Andy Burnham say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)? (NATO)Yes 70%
What will Andy Burnham say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)? (Russia / Russian)Yes 55%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

PM $34.2K · K 623.13 contracts

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Kalshi: Will Anthony Albanese become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?

Related contracts

PM Yes 39%Rules differK Yes 38.5%

Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Kalshi: Will Pauline Hanson become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Kalshi: Will Angus Taylor become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21%Rules differK Yes 19%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 24, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

K 149.0K contracts
Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?Yes 77%
Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?Yes 15%
Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

PM $95.0K
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 52.5%
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 17.5%
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 15.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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