Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Polymarket event "Pro Football: Raiders vs. Chargers Season Series Winner" covers the season series between the Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The source states that the market "will resolve according to the result of the season series" and sets out three outcomes: "Raiders" if the Raiders win the series, "Chargers" if the Chargers win it, and "tie" if the teams tie [1].

The rules also cover disruption. If a scheduled game is "cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result," the series is decided only by completed games. If the result "cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time in the contract, not a date for any game or announcement.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-18T07:54:00.669Z [1]. These are snapshots, not current executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

Two separate contracts appear in the saved sample:

• A tie contract with a Yes price of 0.47 and a No price of 0.53 [1].
• A Raiders contract with a Yes price of 0.445 and a No price of 0.555 [1].

These are different contracts with different questions, so their prices should not be merged or treated as one distribution. The sample does not include a separate Chargers contract, so this snapshot does not give a Chargers price. An absent contract should not be read as a low-priced outcome.

What remains uncertain

The saved sample includes all markets for this event, with 2 of 2 markets included and no partial sample flag [1]. The provider notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].

The evidence does not show why either price is where it is, how many traders hold each view, or how much liquidity is available. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or trader count. The evidence also does not cover the state of the 2026-27 schedule beyond the contract terms, so the outcome remains open.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Raiders vs. Chargers Season Series Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.