Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "Pro Football: Broncos vs. Raiders Season Series Winner," with three binary contracts [1]. The event says it "will resolve according to the result of the season series between the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season" [1]. The three contracts ask whether the Broncos win the series, whether the Raiders win it, and whether the series ends in a tie [1].

The rules also cover disruption. If a scheduled game "is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result," the series is decided "solely using official results of completed games" [1]. If the result "cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. Resolution is not the same as that listed end time, and the rules name the NFL as the primary resolution source, with "a consensus of credible reporting" also used [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-18T07:54:37.749Z [1]. These are the prices from that observation, not live quotes. The saved Yes prices are 0.495 for a tie, 0.405 for a Broncos series win, and 0.0315 for a Raiders series win [1]. The No prices are 0.505, 0.595, and 0.9685 respectively [1].

Each contract is listed separately, so the tie, Broncos, and Raiders contracts should be compared only on their own wording and price. The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The sample warning adds that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. A low price on one contract does not reveal anything about outcomes that were not saved.

Prices are snapshots, not verified probabilities. The evidence does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, so no conclusion about depth or agreement can be drawn.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are. It also does not show whether they have changed since the observation time. No other platform's market for this matchup is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences between contracts on the same platform reflect their separate prices, not an arbitrage opportunity.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Broncos vs. Raiders Season Series Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.