
Pro Football Interceptions Leader
PM $16.9K · K 19.1K contracts
2
43
Pro Football Interceptions Leader

PM $16.9K · K 19.1K contracts
2
43
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Xavier McKinney is priced at 13.5% on Polymarket and 14% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier McKinneySame question, fine print differs | 13.5% | 14% | 0.5 pts |
| Kerby JosephSame question, fine print differs | 2.9% | 0.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Jaycee HornSame question, fine print differs | 2.2% | 1% | 1.2 pts |
| Kevin ByardSame question, fine print differs | 2.1% | 1% | 1.1 pts |
| Derek Stingley Jr.Same question, fine print differs | 1.1% | 2% | 0.9 pts |
| Marlon HumphreySame question, fine print differs | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Sauce GardnerSame question, fine print differs | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $16.9K · K 19.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
43
Saved contracts
7
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
2026-2027 Regular Season If X leads Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes. The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the season ends earlier than expected.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks whether a named player will have the highest total interceptions across the 2026-2027 regular season. The rules say that "The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics" [1]. Preseason, postseason, and other non-regular-season games are excluded unless the season type specifically includes them [1]. If a player competes for multiple teams, statistics from all teams are combined [1].
Several rules affect how a price should be read. A player who does not play due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolves to No [1]. In an exact tie that the league does not resolve to a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout [1]. The market also closes early if the season ends earlier than expected [1].
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T11:07:47.093Z [1]. Each market's Yes and No prices sum to 1, so a Yes price of 0.385 corresponds to a No price of 0.615 for that player. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample includes 12 of 24 markets from this one provider event. Within the sample, the highest listed Yes prices are 0.385 for Devin Lloyd, Trent McDuffie, and Ernest Jones IV. Marlon Humphrey is at 0.33 and Deommodore Lenoir at 0.32. The lowest included Yes prices are 0.125 for Sauce Gardner and Pat Surtain II. The 12 omitted markets are not shown, so this sample cannot describe the full field, and no conclusion should be drawn about their prices.
The market data lists an end date of 2027-02-08T15:00:00.000Z for each included market. The source excerpt, however, states "Listed end time: not supplied." This is a listed close time in the market data, not an announced event date, and the excerpt does not explain the difference.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it contains no news, trader counts, or information on the accuracy of past forecasts. Volume is not supplied here as a measure of liquidity. Because this is a single provider event, these prices should not be compared with contracts on other platforms, which may use different wording, close times, or resolution rules. Differing prices across contracts are not by themselves an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Pro Football Interceptions Leader. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCAI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader
PM $0 · K 4.8K contractsWill Caleb Williams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown?
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Saved prices; check contract rules.

Pro Football All-Purpose Yards Leader
PM $66.3K · K 687.7K contractsWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
Kalshi: Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba lead Pro Football in all-purpose yards for the 2026-27 regular season?
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Kalshi: Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?
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Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?
Kalshi: Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?
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Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader
PM $47.4K · K 530.8K contractsWill Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?
Kalshi: Will Joe Burrow lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?
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Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?
Kalshi: Will Jordan Love lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?
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Will Kirk Cousins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?
Kalshi: Will Kirk Cousins lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?
Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.

Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 10 Interceptions Thrown Leader
PM $0
Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Leader (Team)
PM $16.7K
Pro Football Sacks Leader
PM $17.2K · K 69.0K contractsWill Will Anderson Jr. have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Kalshi: Will Will Anderson Jr. lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?
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Will Nik Bonitto have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Kalshi: Will Nik Bonitto lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?
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Will Josh Sweat have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Kalshi: Will Josh Sweat lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?
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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
1
Same-question pairs
7
Largest saved gap: 2.4 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

