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Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Pro Football Interceptions Leader

Pro Football Interceptions Leader
Vol

PM $16.9K · K 19.1K contracts

|
Events

2

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Markets

43

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from

As of Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Xavier McKinney is priced at 13.5% on Polymarket and 14% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)PolymarketKalshiGap
Xavier McKinneySame question, fine print differs13.5%14%0.5 pts
Kerby JosephSame question, fine print differs2.9%0.5%2.4 pts
Jaycee HornSame question, fine print differs2.2%1%1.2 pts
Kevin ByardSame question, fine print differs2.1%1%1.1 pts
Derek Stingley Jr.Same question, fine print differs1.1%2%0.9 pts
Marlon HumphreySame question, fine print differs1.1%1.5%0.3 pts
Sauce GardnerSame question, fine print differs0.9%0.5%0.4 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $16.9K · K 19.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

43

Saved contracts

7

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

2026-2027 Regular Season If X leads Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes. The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the season ends earlier than expected.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Kalshi event asks whether a named player will have the highest total interceptions across the 2026-2027 regular season. The rules say that "The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics" [1]. Preseason, postseason, and other non-regular-season games are excluded unless the season type specifically includes them [1]. If a player competes for multiple teams, statistics from all teams are combined [1].

Several rules affect how a price should be read. A player who does not play due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolves to No [1]. In an exact tie that the league does not resolve to a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout [1]. The market also closes early if the season ends earlier than expected [1].

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T11:07:47.093Z [1]. Each market's Yes and No prices sum to 1, so a Yes price of 0.385 corresponds to a No price of 0.615 for that player. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The sample includes 12 of 24 markets from this one provider event. Within the sample, the highest listed Yes prices are 0.385 for Devin Lloyd, Trent McDuffie, and Ernest Jones IV. Marlon Humphrey is at 0.33 and Deommodore Lenoir at 0.32. The lowest included Yes prices are 0.125 for Sauce Gardner and Pat Surtain II. The 12 omitted markets are not shown, so this sample cannot describe the full field, and no conclusion should be drawn about their prices.

The market data lists an end date of 2027-02-08T15:00:00.000Z for each included market. The source excerpt, however, states "Listed end time: not supplied." This is a listed close time in the market data, not an announced event date, and the excerpt does not explain the difference.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it contains no news, trader counts, or information on the accuracy of past forecasts. Volume is not supplied here as a measure of liquidity. Because this is a single provider event, these prices should not be compared with contracts on other platforms, which may use different wording, close times, or resolution rules. Differing prices across contracts are not by themselves an arbitrage opportunity.

References

  1. Kalshi: Pro Football Interceptions Leader. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader

Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader

PM $0 · K 4.8K contracts

Will Caleb Williams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown?

Kalshi: Will Caleb Williams lead Pro Football in Passing Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will Geno Smith finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown?

Kalshi: Will Geno Smith lead Pro Football in Passing Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will Aaron Rodgers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown?

Kalshi: Will Aaron Rodgers lead Pro Football in Passing Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Pro Football All-Purpose Yards Leader

Pro Football All-Purpose Yards Leader

PM $66.3K · K 687.7K contracts

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?

Kalshi: Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba lead Pro Football in all-purpose yards for the 2026-27 regular season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 57.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?

Kalshi: Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 57.5%Rules differK Yes 55%

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?

Kalshi: Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 41%Rules differK Yes 55%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

77 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

PM $47.4K · K 530.8K contracts

Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?

Kalshi: Will Joe Burrow lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 56.5%Rules differK Yes 64%

Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?

Kalshi: Will Jordan Love lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 12.8%Rules differK Yes 13.5%

Will Kirk Cousins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?

Kalshi: Will Kirk Cousins lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 7.8%Rules differK Yes 9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

32 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 10 Interceptions Thrown Leader

Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 10 Interceptions Thrown Leader

PM $0
Will Josh Allen finish Week 10 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown?Yes 50%
Will Kyle Allen finish Week 10 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown?Yes 50%
Will Malik Willis finish Week 10 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown?Yes 50%
+61 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Leader (Team)

Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Leader (Team)

PM $16.7K
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?Yes 24.6%
Will Las Vegas Raiders finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?Yes 23.2%
Will Kansas City Chiefs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?Yes 23%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Pro Football Sacks Leader

Pro Football Sacks Leader

PM $17.2K · K 69.0K contracts

Will Will Anderson Jr. have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Kalshi: Will Will Anderson Jr. lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 63%Rules differK Yes 24%

Will Nik Bonitto have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Kalshi: Will Nik Bonitto lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will Josh Sweat have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Kalshi: Will Josh Sweat lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

25 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

1

Same-question pairs

7

Largest saved gap: 2.4 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.