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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Senate Combo: Ohio and Texas

Senate Combo: Ohio and Texas
Vol

PM $4.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Dems sweep at 69%.

Polymarket

  1. Dems sweep69%
  2. Reps sweep15%
  3. Reps OH, Dems TX8%
  4. Dems OH, Reps TX5.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $4.4K

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Ohio and Texas (including the special election in Ohio) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Senate Combo: Michigan, Texas, Ohio

Senate Combo: Michigan, Texas, Ohio

PM $1.4K
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Texas, and Ohio Senate seats?Yes 47%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Republicans win Texas?Yes 19%
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Democrats win Ohio?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

K 136.9K contracts
Will Democrats win all four?Yes 35%
Will Democrats win Texas, Alaska, Ohio?Yes 15%
Will Democrats win none of the four?Yes 9.8%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

PM $361.6K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes 24.5%
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes 7.8%
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes 7.5%
+125 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Closest Governor's Race?

Closest Governor's Race?

PM $76.9K · K 1.76M contracts

Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17.7%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.9%Rules differK Yes 8.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

62 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

PM $5.7K · K 4.2K contracts

Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will the number of Texas Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 21 after the November 3, 2026 general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.4%Rules differK Yes 49%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine-Texas Senate Combo

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

K 3.38M contracts
Will Texas Senate be James Talarico wins AND Maine Senate be Troy Jackson wins for Nov 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Texas Senate be James Talarico wins AND Maine Senate be Susan Collins wins for Nov 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Texas Senate be Ken Paxton wins AND Maine Senate be Susan Collins wins for Nov 2026?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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