Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

Reported volume

PM $361.6K

Events

Markets

128

Trade on Polymarket

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

Vol

PM $361.6K

Events

Markets

128

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is None at 24.5%.

Polymarket

None24.5%
IA7.8%
IA, KS7.5%
All 76.1%
KS5.9%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

128 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(128)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Poly	24.5%
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	7.8%
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	7.5%
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Poly	6.1%
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	5.9%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	4.2%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?	Poly	3.8%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?	Poly	3.6%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	3.6%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	3.6%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	Poly	3.4%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	3.2%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	3.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	2.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?	Poly	1.9%
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	1.6%
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	1.6%
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	1.6%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?	Poly	1.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?	Poly	1.5%
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	1.4%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	1.3%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?	Poly	1.3%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	1.2%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?	Poly	1.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	1.0%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.9%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?	Poly	0.9%
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.9%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.6%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.6%
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.6%
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.6%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.5%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Poly	0.4%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?	Poly	0.3%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.3%
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.3%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas?	Poly	0.2%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?	Poly	0.2%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Poly	0.2%
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.2%
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.2%
Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?	Poly	0.2%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Poly	0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?	Poly	<0.1%

Rules & Resolution

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $361.6K

Reported volume · provider units

128

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $361.6K
Coverage: 128 of 128 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273577; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-all
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $20.3K
Outcome Yes: 6.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273583; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $482.91
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273589; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.7K
Outcome Yes: 3.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273594; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.5K
Outcome Yes: 1.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273596; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $636.93
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273598; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $501.44
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273604; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.2K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273611; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273616; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273621; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $310.13
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273625; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $7.0K
Outcome Yes: 3.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273631; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $445.38
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273635; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $444.35
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273639; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273644; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $347.5
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273648; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $420.2
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273652; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.7K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273656; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $526.36
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273660; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $523.93
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273664; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.2K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273668; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $6.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273672; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $470.72
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273676; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $975.34
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273680; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $280.51
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273684; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $9.3K
Outcome Yes: 3.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273688; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $9.8K
Outcome Yes: 1.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273692; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $319.1
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273696; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $614.41
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273700; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.1K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273704; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $558.61
Outcome Yes: 3.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273709; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $409.59
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273713; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273717; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.1K
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273719; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $335.91
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273722; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $465.64
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273726; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $519.49
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273730; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273733; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $441.54
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273734; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $448.06
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273735; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273737; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $597.11
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273739; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $455.14
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273742; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $558.08
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273745; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $457.12
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273748; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $596.89
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273750; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273753; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273756; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $646.85
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273758; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $388.65
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273760; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $458.6
Outcome Yes: 0.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273763; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $6.6K
Outcome Yes: 1.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273765; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.2K
Outcome Yes: 3.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273768; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $452.77
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273771; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $773.66
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273775; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $673.95
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273778; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $300.4
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273782; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273785; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273788; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $457.63
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273792; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $305.28
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273795; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $523.1
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273799; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.2K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273802; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $263.49
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273806; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $559.08
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273809; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-ks
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.4K
Outcome Yes: 3.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273813; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $424.9
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273817; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $611.83
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273821; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $374.58
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273824; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $780.94
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273828; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $792.19
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273831; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $434.98
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273835; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $531.37
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273840; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $436.12
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273843; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $552.61
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273851; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $538.15
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273855; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $465.14
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273859; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $513.61
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273864; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $525.23
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273871; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $730.4
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273877; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $11.5K
Outcome Yes: 4.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273886; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $5.1K
Outcome Yes: 1.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273895; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.3K
Outcome Yes: 2.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273900; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.3K
Outcome Yes: 3.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273904; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $797.85
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273909; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $591.21
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273916; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273924; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $679.37
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273930; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $587.23
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273938; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $411.42
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273945; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $286.72
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273953; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $454
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273966; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $262.08
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273973; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273980; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $817.05
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6273988; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $887.38
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274000; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $482.65
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274008; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274015; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $795.99
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274023; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-mi-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $386.3
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274030; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ia
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.2K
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274038; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-ks
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $431.94
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274046; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $815.54
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274053; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $416.7
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274061; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274069; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $771.31
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274077; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-ks
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $20.9K
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274086; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $4.2K
Outcome Yes: 1.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274100; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $5.8K
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274108; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.7K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274117; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274122; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.5K
Outcome Yes: 1.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274129; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $692.16
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274131; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.2K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274137; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274144; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $892.08
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274150; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $628.78
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274155; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.7K
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274158; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-mi-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $356
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274164; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-mi-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274171; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-oh-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274177; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ak
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.7K
Outcome Yes: 1.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274182; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ia
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $16.6K
Outcome Yes: 7.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274191; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-ks
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $6.4K
Outcome Yes: 5.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274198; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-me
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.5K
Outcome Yes: 1.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274205; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-mi
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.7K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274213; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-oh
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $3.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274225; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-tx
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $5.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Contract: Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6274257; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-senate-map-r-none
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $76.7K
Outcome Yes: 24.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. 

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively c

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

Volume$361.62K

Markets128

128 of 128

Sort:

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

polymarket

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Yes: 24.5¢
No: 75.5¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

polymarket

Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes: 7.8¢
No: 92.2¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

polymarket

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes: 7.5¢
No: 92.5¢

Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

polymarket

Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Yes: 6.1¢
No: 93.9¢

Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

polymarket

Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes: 5.9¢
No: 94.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?

PM $51.3K · K 32.8K contracts

Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Kalshi: Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 39.5%Rules differK Yes 39.5%

Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 22.9%Rules differK Yes 22%

Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 14.1%Rules differK Yes 12%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?

K 63.1K contracts

Will Republicans win all 3?Yes 36%

Will Republicans win Nebraska, South Carolina?Yes 18%

Will Republicans win South Carolina?Yes 13.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Closest Governor's Race?

PM $76.9K · K 1.76M contracts

Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17.7%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.9%Rules differK Yes 8.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

62 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will the number of Texas Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 21 after the November 3, 2026 general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.4%Rules differK Yes 49%

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

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