GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

2028 Green Presidential nominee

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2028 Green Presidential nominee

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Kalshi

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Kalshi

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6 markets tracked

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?	Kalshi	26%
Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?	Kalshi	12%
Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?	Kalshi	6%
Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?	Kalshi	5%
Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?	Kalshi	5%
Will Ajamu Baraka be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

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26%

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About This Event

In 2028 If X wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination. This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028 Green Presidential nominee
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2028

If X wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination. This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jorge Zavala wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ajamu Baraka be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

2028 Green Presidential nominee

Volume$0.00

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

If Butch Ware wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.9¢No 88.1¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

If Jill Stein wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

If Dashaun "Daví" Davis wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.1¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

If Jorge Zavala wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

KALSHI

Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

If Jasmine Sherman wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Green nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/bCC12c" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2028 Green Presidential nominee"></iframe>

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2028 Green Presidential nominee

2028 Green Presidential nominee

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Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

2028 Green Presidential nominee

Markets (6)

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2028 Green Presidential nominee

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jorge Zavala be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Will Jasmine Sherman be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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