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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
Vol

PM $310.7K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 9%.

Polymarket

  1. December 319%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $310.7K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?

PM $98.9K
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Yes 54%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

K 146.6K contracts
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 51.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 46%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Prince Andrew)Yes 43.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

PM $2.69M
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

PM $1.39M
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

K 76.8K contracts
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from custody before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

PM $530.2K · K 563.5K contracts

Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 10.6%

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.6%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.2%Rules differK Yes 7.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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