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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition
Vol

PM $1.9K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 44% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes44%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.9K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Proposition 45 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would amend the state’s landmark California Environmental Quality Act to create deadlines for environmental reviews of most housing, transportation, water, health and clean energy projects to speed up permitting and limit the court’s ability to stop or delay developments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent

California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent

K 256.99 contracts
Will Yes receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election?Yes 64.5%
Will Yes receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election?Yes 50%
Will Yes receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

K 23.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%?Yes 46%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 7%?Yes 32%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

K 22.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%?Yes 25%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%?Yes 13%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 7%?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?

Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?

K 0 contracts
Will the difference between the number of Yes votes for Proposition 42 and the number of Yes votes for Proposition 40 be above 0 votes in the November 3, 2026 California general election?Yes 50%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

PM $4.2K
California High-Earner Permanent Tax PropositionYes 93%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

PM $4.1K
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionYes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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