Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

Total Volume

$2.44K

Events

Markets

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When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

Vol

$2.44K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.44K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.44K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	24%
Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	14%
Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

24%

Top Probability

$2.44K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Green Party of England and Wales If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the party official resigns or announces their resignation.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Green Party of England and Wales

If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the party official resigns or announces their resignation.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes. Early clos"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

Volume$2.44K

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes. Early clos

KALSHI

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?

If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes. Early clos

KALSHI

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?

If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes. Early clos

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16¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ckToTI" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?"></iframe>

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When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

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Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

Markets (3)

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?

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Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?

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