GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Name: Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
End: 2026-12-18T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$140.84K

Events

Markets

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Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Vol

$140.84K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $140.84K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $140.84K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Poly	94%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Poly	93%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Poly	93%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	Poly	89%
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	Poly	84%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Poly	82%
Benedict Wong as Wong?	Poly	72%
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?	Poly	60%
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Poly	56%
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?	Poly	54%
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	Poly	54%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Poly	51%
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	Poly	48%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	Poly	43%
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	Poly	38%
Halle Berry as Storm?	Poly	26%
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	Poly	20%
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	Poly	20%
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	Poly	14%
Jonathan Majors as Kang?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$140.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multip

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 18, 2026 (104 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multip

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, rega"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $133.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $14.8K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $886
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $7.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Benedict Wong as Wong?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $13.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Halle Berry as Storm?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Jonathan Majors as Kang?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $12.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Volume$140.84K

Markets20

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POLYMARKET

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, rega

POLYMARKET

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 93.1¢No 6.9¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

POLYMARKET

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

POLYMARKET

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

POLYMARKET

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

POLYMARKETCulture

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?

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Next Market Closes

103d 1h remaining

Dec 18, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

55¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/dlgxBT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?"></iframe>

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Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

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Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Markets (20)

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Market Insights

Share

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Share

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