Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Reported volume

PM $195.4K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Vol

PM $195.4K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man at 93.4%.

Polymarket

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man93.4%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool93%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine92.5%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange88.5%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk83%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Poly	93.4%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Poly	93.0%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Poly	92.5%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	Poly	88.5%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Poly	83.0%
Benedict Wong as Wong?	Poly	81.0%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Poly	80.0%
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	Poly	79.0%
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?	Poly	74.5%
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	Poly	74.5%
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?	Poly	61.5%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	Poly	53.5%
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	Poly	52.0%
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Poly	49.5%
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	Poly	49.5%
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	Poly	32.0%
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	Poly	30.5%
Halle Berry as Storm?	Poly	19.0%
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	Poly	9.5%
Jonathan Majors as Kang?	Poly	8.6%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $195.4K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $195.4K
Coverage: 20 of 20 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2926644; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/elizabeth-olsen-as-scarlet-witch-20260714154648626
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.5K
Outcome Yes: 61.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818690; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/ryan-reynolds-as-deadpool
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8.1K
Outcome Yes: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Benedict Wong as Wong?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818691; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/benedict-wong-as-wong
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $9.0K
Outcome Yes: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818692; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/hailee-steinfeld-as-kate-bishop
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.6K
Outcome Yes: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818693; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/xochitl-gomez-as-america-chavez
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.4K
Outcome Yes: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818694; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/iman-vellani-as-ms-marvel
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8.0K
Outcome Yes: 74.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 25.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818695; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/teyonah-parris-as-monica-rambeau
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8.1K
Outcome Yes: 80.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 20.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818696; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/benedict-cumberbatch-as-doctor-strange
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $7.6K
Outcome Yes: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818697; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/tobey-maguire-as-spider-man
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $14.8K
Outcome Yes: 93.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 6.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818698; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/hugh-jackman-as-wolverine
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $12.0K
Outcome Yes: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818699; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/brie-larson-as-captain-marvel
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $17.6K
Outcome Yes: 53.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 46.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818700; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/mark-ruffalo-as-hulk
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $13.3K
Outcome Yes: 83.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 17.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818702; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/tom-holland-as-spider-man
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $15.9K
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818703; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/don-cheadle-as-james-rhodes-war-machine
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.4K
Outcome Yes: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818704; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/gwyneth-paltrow-as-pepper-potts
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.5K
Outcome Yes: 74.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 25.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818705; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/andrew-garfield-as-spider-man
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $11.0K
Outcome Yes: 30.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818706; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/evangeline-lilly-as-the-wasp
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.3K
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Halle Berry as Storm?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818707; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/halle-berry-as-storm
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $9.3K
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818708; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/jon-favreau-as-happy-hogan
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $9.6K
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Jonathan Majors as Kang?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1818709; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/jonathan-majors-as-kang
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $13.4K
Outcome Yes: 8.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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