Name: Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
End: 2026-12-18T00:00:00.000Z

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Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $5.49K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.49K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Poly	88%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Poly	83%
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	Poly	76%
Benedict Wong as Wong?	Poly	71%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	Poly	63%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Poly	61%
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?	Poly	56%
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Poly	56%
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?	Poly	48%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Poly	45%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Poly	44%
Halle Berry as Storm?	Poly	44%
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	Poly	44%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	Poly	43%
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	Poly	43%
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	Poly	42%
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	Poly	42%
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	Poly	42%
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	Poly	42%
Jonathan Majors as Kang?	Poly	29%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$5.49K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multip

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 18, 2026 (245 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multip

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, reg"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.88)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $164
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $19
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Benedict Wong as Wong?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $103
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Halle Berry as Storm?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $41
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Jonathan Majors as Kang?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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