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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?

Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?
Vol

PM $36.7K

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Events

1

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Markets

9

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Loki at 81.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Loki81.5%
  2. Thor65%
  3. Spider-Man64.5%
  4. Captain America (Sam Wilson)58.5%
  5. Steve Rogers55%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $36.7K

Reported volume · provider units

9

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Avengers: Doomsday" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Avengers: Doomsday" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Avengers: Doomsday" will qualify. Only events depicted in the official "Avengers: Doomsday" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Avengers: Doomsday". If no theatrical release occurs by January 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 956.1K contracts
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 94.5%
Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92.5%
Will Tobey Maguire perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

PM $20.2K
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 85.7%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 77%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 45%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

PM $17.70M
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 93%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 6.9%
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.1%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

PM $2.44M
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 56%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.38M contracts
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 98.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 96.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 89%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

PM $435.6K
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 48%
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 19%
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 18.1%
+24 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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