GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?

Name: Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?
End: 2026-07-18T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$25.90K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?

Vol

$25.90K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $25.90K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.90K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	66%
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	65%
Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	64%
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	55%
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	55%
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	41%
Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	41%
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	36%
Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Poly	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$25.90K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed throug

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 18, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). 

If a death is reversed throug

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that chara"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.1K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.29)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $772
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $308
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture